Pass/Don’t Pass Progression System:

1. Classic Regression Craps Strategy Examples
2. Classic Regression Craps Strategy For Beginners
3. Classic Regression Craps Strategy Tactics

My colleagues in Golden Touch™ Craps Inc., Dominator and Mr. Finesse, are advocates of regression betting as a means of securing wins and avoiding losses. A typical regression play, called the $110 one-hit-and-down, would go like this: The shooter has established his point. You place $110 inside; that’s $25 on the 5 and 9, $30 on the 6 and 8.

Start with 26 units. Bet one unit on either Pass Line or Don’t Pass Line. If this bet is won, parlay it and wager both bet and win, or two units. This is the heart of the system: one MUST back bet or parlay the win.

If you win a second time, you will be ahead 3 units

Now start again. The betting progression is as follows: 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 for 26 total units.

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Sample play:

• Bet A (1 unit): Lost
• Bet B (1unit): Lost
• Bet C (1 unit): Lost
• Bet D (2 units): Won
• Bet E parlay (2 units plus 2 units just won): Won

You’re now ahead by two units (28 units total). Start over again with a one unit bet. You have a total of nine consecutive chances before you limit your losses.

1-3-2-6 System:

1-3-2-6 is based on the premise that you can win four times in a row.

Your initial bet is 1 unit, the second 3 units, the third 2 units and the fourth 6 units. Let’s assume that each unit is $10 and the odds are 1:1 – even money.

The first bet is $10. When winning, $10 is added to the $20 on the table making the second bet $30. When winning again on the second bet, there would be $60 on the table. Of this you take down $40 and the third bet is now $20. If the third bet wins, you will have $40 on the table to which you add $20 making a total of $60 for the fourth bet.

If the fourth bet wins, there would be a total of $120, of which $100 is net profit. Now all the bet with the profit is taken down and you start the system all over again at $10.

If you lose the first bet, your loss is $10. The second level loss is $20. At the third level, a loss will give you a net profit of $20. At the fourth level, a loss leaves you breaking even. Each time you lose, you start all over again at $10.

The attraction of this system is that you risk $20 at a chance of making $100 net profit. This means you can lose five times, and with one win get your money back.

Parlay System:

This Parlay is designed to, in effect, pyramid your profits. Pyramiding is a parlay wager whereby the original wager plus its winnings are played on successive wagers. Commonly used in horse racing betting, you make a bet and if you win you re-invest the winnings on the next bet or Let It Ride as it were.

It is one of the oldest methods of wagering and was originally derived from the same premise that banking systems use to compound interest.

Fibonacci Progression System:

A Fibonacci progression steps as follows: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, etc. – where each number is a sum of the previous two numbers. The basic idea is to get two wins in a row.

For each loss, step up one in the progression. For each win, repeat the current bet. If you win again, start the progression over. If you lose, advance one step.

Labouchere System:

The Labouchere system is also known as the ‘Cancellation’ system. There are several variations, but in its simplest form, you write down a series or a set of numbers, such as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. The series can be any length and does not have to be sequential. The choice of a particular series depends on the type of game you want to apply it to and the odds of the bet.

Each number represents the amount in units or chips to bet. You bet the first and last of these numbers. In the example of the above craps strategies, that would be 1 and 6, totaling 7 units.

When you win, cross off those two numbers and bet the next two outside numbers. In the case of our example, 2 and 5. If you win again you bet on the next two remaining numbers 3 and 4, and if you win that too, you would have made a ‘coup’ or completed one game. Then restart the system.

If you lose, add that one number to the end of the series. Say you lost your first bet of 7 units (1+6). Then you add number 7 to the end of the series to look like this: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and your next bet would equal 8 units (1+7). If you won the first bet but lost the second 2 and 5, then the series of numbers would look like this: 2, 3, 4, 5, 7.

If you work it out, you will see that when the series is completed or when you make a ‘coup’, there is always a profit. The negative side of this system is that you could end up betting large sums of money even if your initial bet is small.

Martingale System:

The Martingale betting system is a very old and extremely simple system. It is based on the probability that one won’t lose an infinite number of times in a row and is usually applied to even money bets.

Start with a one unit bet. If you win, bet the same amount again. If you lose, double your bet. Each time you lose, double your last lost bet. Eventually, the odds say you will win. When you win you would recover all your lost bets plus one unit profit against your initial wager.

Although infallible in theory, the Martingale system requires a large bankroll, has a very low return and is a very risky one because of the maximum bet limits imposed by the casinos.

Classic Regression System:

Objective: To make a profit on one hit.

In this craps strategy, you wait until the shooter has made his/her point before placing your bets. After the Point is made you will place two units or $12.00 on both the 6 and 8. After one hit, you will ask the Dealer to come down one unit on both the 6 & 8.

Results: You now have a $2.00 profit and can no longer get hurt by the Seven. In addition, you now have $12.00 working for you. After another hit, bring down all bets and wait for the roller to make his/her point or 7 out, then start the process over.

On two hits your net profit is: $21.00. Now depending on how confident you are, you can come down after the first hit profiting $14.00 or keep betting on the 6 & 8. If you prefer to keep your bets riding make sure that both the 6 & 8 are covered.

Note: There are ten combined ways to make a 6 and 8 and six combined ways for a seven.

Paroli System:

It’s almost like the flipside of the Martingale system coin. Basically, you continue to increase bets as you win, rather than when you lose, as with the Martingale craps strategy. Although, you must also place a cap on how far you allow the bet to build before returning to your original starting bet, as well as how much money you are willing to raise following each win, if in fact the wins come. All of this is of course dependent upon the odds of any particular bet.

The advantage: No big bankroll necessary, encourages profit and minimizes loses.

D’Alenbert System:

This system is a mix somewhere between Insurance Betting Systems & the Martingale System craps strategies. Bets are steadily increased after each lost bet & lowered after each winning bet respectively. The frequency as well as amount the bet is changed can vary to better match game types and various odds.

One of the strategies many of us learned from the great John Patrick is the regression move. It’s a move particularly well-suited for DI’s with limited bankrolls. Simply put, a regression move is a play designed to lock up an early profit on a shooter and position the player for a larger win should the hand continue. It’s a strategy I use in virtually every session I play. While it does not give you a mathematical edge over the house, it does let the disciplined gambler play from a position of power. It is an especially effective way for precision shooters to play.
Let’s look at a player with a respectable SRR of 1:8 using the V-3 pre-set. For the sake of this example, let’s assume he keeps the dice on axis 100% of the time. Not only does the player know that on average, he’s going to get eight tosses in before the devil jumps up, he also knows the distribution of numbers that will likely roll. Out of sixteen possible on-axis combinations, two add up to seven, six add up to six or eight, four add up to five or nine, and four add up to three, four, ten and eleven. Our astute player knows his advantage is on the inside numbers, and he bets those numbers in proportion to his advantage, with three chips each on the six or eight for every two on the five or nine. He knows that he may go point-seven, or he may shoot the lights out with a forty-five number hand. But over the long haul, if his tracking is correct, he will average eight tosses once the point is established. To err on the conservative side, he’s elected to play a strategy that includes a regression to lock up a profit after the fourth post-Come Out toss. His regression involves coming down off the five and nine and reducing the size of his bets on the six and eight. He will “same bet” subsequent hits until he gets over his SRR “hump.” If the roll extends beyond roll eight he will press every other hit in an up and out strategy.
Now let’s plug some numbers in and see how the hand plays out. Let’s give the player $1000 bankroll in a $10 – 2X odds game. He plays $10 on the Pass Line and establishes the six as his point and takes $20 in free odds. He places the eight for $30, and the five and nine for $20 each. Remember, he sized his place action according to his advantage, placing more emphasis on the six and eight, where he has the greatest edge with the V-3. Now let’s play out the hand.
Six is the point.
Second toss – rolls 8. Shooter collects $35. $90 action on the table. $55 at risk.
Third toss – rolls 9. Shooter collects $28. $90 action on the table. $27 at risk.
Fourth toss – rolls 3. No change in bankroll. Shooter comes down off the 5 and 9. Regresses the eight to $12, and regresses the free odds behind the Pass Line to $10. $32 on the table. $31 guaranteed profit for the hand.

Classic Regression Craps Strategy Examples

Fifth toss – rolls 10. Same action.
Sixth toss – rolls 8. Same bet. Lock up an additional $14. $32 action on the table. $45 guaranteed profit for the hand.

Classic Regression Craps Strategy For Beginners

Seventh toss – rolls 5. Same action.

Classic Regression Craps Strategy Tactics

Eighth toss – 7 out. House locks up the $32 action. Player colors in a $45 profit.
It’s really that simple. Now, there are all sorts of variations you can spin off the above action. You could turn your bets off on roll’s seven, eight, and nine – leaving just your line bet working. You could pick up your free odds and just go with the flat bet for a few tosses. Or you could convert to Come betting and let the dice decide what do to next. Of course, if you choose the latter, remember you are taking chips out of your guarantee and putting them back in action. Limit yourself to one or two Come bets, or play a modified version of the Heat Seeking Craps Strategy by coming down on place action as Come bets travel, and going strictly with flat bets until a number repeats itself and “earns” its free odds bet.
Locking up a profit early is a smart way to play. If you will do it consistently, it will go a long way toward improving your craps bottom-line.